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Journal Articles

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://repository.unesco.gov.ph/handle/123456789/50

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    Decadal stability in coral cover could mask hidden changes on reefs in the East Asian Seas
    Chan, Y. K. S.; Affendi, Y. A.; Ang, P. O.; Baria-Rodriguez, M. V.; Chen, C. A.; Chui, A. P. Y.; Glue, M.; Huang, H.; Kuo, C-Y.; Kim, S. W.; Lam, V. Y. Y.; Lane, D. J. W.; Lian, J. S.; Lin, S. M. N. N.; Lunn, Z.; Nañola, C. L.; Nguyen, V. L.; Park, H. S.; Sutthacheep, M.; Vo, S. T.; Vibol, O.; Waheed, Z.; Yamano, H.; Yeemin, T.; Yong, E.; Kimura, T.; Tun, K.; Chou, L. M.; Huang, D. (Springer, 2023-06-10)
    Coral reefs in the Central Indo-Pacific region comprise some of the most diverse and yet threatened marine habitats. While reef monitoring has grown throughout the region in recent years, studies of coral reef benthic cover remain limited in spatial and temporal scales. Here, we analysed 24,365 reef surveys performed over 37 years at 1972 sites throughout East Asia by the Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network using Bayesian approaches. Our results show that overall coral cover at surveyed reefs has not declined as suggested in previous studies and compared to reef regions like the Caribbean. Concurrently, macroalgal cover has not increased, with no indications of phase shifts from coral to macroalgal dominance on reefs. Yet, models incorporating socio-economic and environmental variables reveal negative associations of coral cover with coastal urbanisation and sea surface temperature. The diversity of reef assemblages may have mitigated cover declines thus far, but climate change could threaten reef resilience. We recommend prioritisation of regionally coordinated, locally collaborative long-term studies for better contextualisation of monitoring data and analyses, which are essential for achieving reef conservation goals.
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    Natural and anthropogenic climate variability sgnals in a 237-year-long coral record from the Philippines
    Inoue, Mayuri; Fukushima, A.; Chihara, M.; Genda, A.; Ikehara, Minoru; Okai, T.; Kawahata, Hodaka; Siringan, F. P.; Suzuki, Atsushi (American Geophysical Union, 2023-11-29)
    Both proxy and model studies conducted to understand anthropogenic warming have revealed historical variations in sea-surface temperature (SST) since the industrial revolution. However, because of discrepancies between observations and models in the late nineteenth century, the timing and degree of anthropogenic warming remain unclear. In this study, we reconstructed a 237-year-long record of SST and salinity using a coral core collected from Bicol, southern Luzon, Philippines, which is located at the northern edge of the western Pacific warm pool. The SST record showed volcanic cooling after several volcanic eruptions, including the 1815 Tambora eruption, but the pattern of change differed. Decadal SST variations at Bicol are connected to Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV). Therefore, it is suggested that the PDV conditions at the time of the eruption may have influenced marine conditions, such as the degree and duration of cooling and/or salinity, after the eruptions. Although there were discrepancies in SST variations among the modeled, observed, and proxy SST data from the late nineteenth to early twentieth centuries, SST data from the late twentieth century showed globally coherent anthropogenic warming, especially after 1976. In particular, summer SST in the northwestern Pacific has become more sensitive to anthropogenic forcing since 1976.