Challenge 06: Increase community resilience to ocean hazards
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://repository.unesco.gov.ph/handle/123456789/25
Ocean Decade
Challenge 06:
Increase community resilience to ocean hazards
Enhance multi-hazard early warning services for all geophysical, ecological, biological, weather, climate and anthropogenic related ocean and coastal hazards, and mainstream community preparedness and resilience.
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- Elevated seawater temperatures affect embryonic and larval development in the giant clam Tridacna gigas (Cardiidae: Tridacninae)Enricuso, Odette B.; Conaco, Cecilia; Sayco, Sherry Lyn G.; Neo, Mei Lin; Cabaitan, Patrick (Oxford Academic, 2018-11-17)Giant clams are the largest bivalve molluscs and play a key role in coral reef ecosystems. Almost all species are considered endangered or vulnerable to extinction, thus requiring intervention through culturing and restocking. Although successful culture techniques have been developed, the responses of giant clam embryos and larvae to environmental factors, such as seawater temperature, are not yet fully understood. In this study, fertilization, development and survival of Tridacna gigas larvae were observed at low (28 °C), medium (30 °C) and high (33 °C) seawater temperatures. Fertilization success was not significantly different between the water temperatures tested. At 28 °C, ciliated gastrulae appeared first at 12 h postfertilization (hpf) and trochophore larvae at 24 hpf. In contrast, more rapid development was observed at 30 °C and 33 °C, with ciliated gastrulae first appearing at 9 hpf and trochophore larvae at 18 hpf. Veliger larvae were observed after 48 h at 28 °C and 30 °C. No veligers were observed at 33 °C, but a greater proportion of embryos and larvae exhibited developmental abnormalities at this temperature compared with the other treatments. Larval survival was lowest at 33 °C at the 12 and 24 h timepoints, although there was no longer a significant difference across treatments after 48 h. Furthermore, post-settlement survival of juveniles subjected to different seawater temperatures for 22 d starting at 8 d postfertilization (dpf) was lowest at 33 °C. These findings reveal that higher water temperatures promote rapid progression through early development, but result in lower overall survival as a consequence of abnormal development and reduced post-settlement survival.The authors acknowledge Julio Curiano and the staff of the Bolinao Marine Laboratory for assistance with experiments. This work was supported in part by the University of the Philippines Marine Science Institute; a grant from the National Geographic Society (ASIA-08-15) to PCC; a grant from the Department of Science and Technology Philippine Council for Agriculture, Aquatic and Natural Resources Research and Development (QMSR-MRRD-MEC-295-1449) to PCC and CC; and a Department of Science and Technology Science Education Institute graduate scholarship to OBE. MLN acknowledges the support of the National Research Foundation Singapore for research at the St John’s Island National Marine Laboratory.
- The mapping of storm surge-prone areas and characterizing surge-producing cyclones in Leyte Gulf, PhilippinesRodrigo, Soccoro Margarita T.; Villanoy, Cesar L.; Briones, Jeric C.; Bilgera, Princess Hope T.; Cabrera, Olivia C.; Narisma, Gemma Teresa T. (Springer Nature Link, 2018-03-15)Historically, Leyte Gulf in central eastern Philippines has received catastrophic damage due to storm surges, the most recent of which was during Typhoon Haiyan in 2013. A city-level risk assessment was performed on Leyte Gulf through synthetic storm generation, high-resolution ocean modeling, and decision tree analyses. Cyclones were generated through a combination of a Poisson point process and Monte Carlo simulations. Wind and pressure fields generated from the cyclones were used in a storm surge model of Leyte Gulf developed on Delft3D. The output of these simulations was a synthetic record of extreme sea level events, which were used to estimate maximum surge heights for different return periods and to characterize surge-producing storm characteristics using decision tree analyses. The results showed that the area most prone to surges is the Tacloban–Basey area with a 2.8 ± 0.3 m surge occurring at a frequency of every 50 years. Nearby Palo area will likely receive a surge of 1.9 ± 0.4 m every 50 years while Giporlos–Salcedo area a surge of 1.0 ± 0.1 m. The decision tree analysis performed for each of these areas showed that for surges of 3–4 m, high-velocity winds (> 30 m/s) are consistently the main determining factor. For the areas, Tacloban, Basey, and Giporlos–Salcedo, wind speed was also the main determining factor for surge > 4 m.Funding was provided by the Philippine Council for Agriculture, Aquatic, and Natural Resources Research and Development, Department of Science and Technology (DOST-PCAARRD). We thank the reviewers for their helpful comments and suggestions.
- Expanding ocean food production under climate changeFree, Christopher M.; Cabral, Reniel B.; Froehlich, Halley E.; Battista, Willow; Ojea, Elena; O’Reilly, Erin; Palardy, James E.; García Molinos, Jorge; Siegel, Katherine J.; Arnason, Ragnar; Juinio–Meñez, Marie Antonette; Fabricius, Katharina; Turley, Carol; Gaines, Steven D. (Springer, 2022-04-27)As the human population and demand for food grow, the ocean will be called on to provide increasing amounts of seafood. Although fisheries reforms and advances in offshore aquaculture (hereafter ‘mariculture’) could increase production, the true future of seafood depends on human responses to climate change. Here we investigated whether coordinated reforms in fisheries and mariculture could increase seafood production per capita under climate change. We find that climate-adaptive fisheries reforms will be necessary but insufficient to maintain global seafood production per capita, even with aggressive reductions in greenhouse-gas emissions. However, the potential for sustainable mariculture to increase seafood per capita is vast and could increase seafood production per capita under all but the most severe emissions scenario. These increases are contingent on fisheries reforms, continued advances in feed technology and the establishment of effective mariculture governance and best practices. Furthermore, dramatically curbing emissions is essential for reducing inequities, increasing reform efficacy and mitigating risks unaccounted for in our analysis. Although climate change will challenge the ocean’s ability to meet growing food demands, the ocean could produce more food than it does currently through swift and ambitious action to reduce emissions, reform capture fisheries and expand sustainable mariculture operations.
- Precipitation stable isotopic signatures of tropical cyclones in Metropolitan Manila, Philippines, show significant negative isotopic excursionsJackisch, Dominik; Yeo, Bi Xuan; Switzer, Adam D.; He, Shaoneng; Cantarero, Danica Linda M.; Siringan, Fernando P.; Goodkin, Nathalie F. (Copernicus GmbH, 2022-01-28)Tropical cyclones have devastating impacts on the environment, economies, and societies and may intensify in the coming decades due to climate change. Stable water isotopes serve as tracers of the hydrological cycle, as isotope fractionation processes leave distinct precipitation isotopic signatures. Here we present a record of daily precipitation isotope measurements from March 2014 to October 2015 for Metropolitan Manila, a first-of-a-kind dataset for the Philippines and Southeast Asia. We show that precipitation isotopic variation at our study site is closely related to tropical cyclones. The most negative shift in δ18O values (−13.84 ‰) leading to a clear isotopic signal was caused by Typhoon Rammasun, which directly hit Metropolitan Manila. The average δ18O value of precipitation associated with tropical cyclones is −10.24 ‰, whereas the mean isotopic value for rainfall associated with non-cyclone events is −5.29 ‰. Further, the closer the storm track is to the sampling site, the more negative the isotopic values are, indicating that in situ isotope measurements can provide a direct linkage between isotopes and typhoon activities in the Philippines.This research was supported by the Earth Observatory of Singapore (EOS) via its funding from the National Research Foundation Singapore and the Ministry of Education of Singapore under the Research Centres of Excellence initiative. This work comprises EOS contribution no. 422. This study is also the part of the IAEA Coordinated Research Project (CRP code: F31004) on “Stable Isotopes in Precipitation and Paleoclimatic Archives in Tropical Areas to Improve Regional Hydrological and Climatic Impact Models” (IAEA Research Agreement no. 17980).
- Effect of the Intensified Sub‐Thermocline Eddy on strengthening the Mindanao undercurrent in 2019Azminuddin, Fuad; Lee, Jae Hak; Jeon, Dongchull; Shin, Chang‐Woong; Villanoy, Cesar; Lee, Seok; Min, Hong Sik; Kim, Dong Guk (American Geophysical Union, 2022-02)The northward-flowing Mindanao Undercurrent (MUC) was directly measured by acoustic Doppler current profilers from a subsurface mooring at about 8°N, 127°E during 2 years (November 2017–December 2019). Its depth covers a range from 400 m to deeper than 1,000 m with its core appearing at around 900 m. The mean velocity of MUC's core was approximately 5.8 cm s−1 with a maximum speed of about 47.6 cm s−1. The MUC was observed as a quasi-permanent current with strong intraseasonal variability (ISV) with a period of 70–80 days. Further analyses with an eddy-resolving circulation model output suggest that the ISV is closely related to sub-thermocline eddies (SEs). In this study, two types of SEs near the Philippine coast are disclosed: the westward propagating SE (SE-1) and the quasi-stational SE southeast of Mindanao Island (SE-2). The SE-1 has both cyclonic and anticyclonic polarities with the propagation speed of 7–8 cm s−1, while the SE-2 is an anticyclonic eddy that moves erratically within 4–8°N, 127–130°E with the mean translation speed of about 11 cm s−1. Even though the SE-1 plays an important role in modulating the MUC, our results show that the observed strong MUC event (May–July 2019) is evidently induced by the intensified SE-2 that moves northwestward. This study emphasizes that the SE-2 when intensified, receives more energy from the strengthened New Guinea Coastal Undercurrent and loses the energy northward along the Philippine coast by intensifying the MUC.This study was part of the project entitled “study on air–sea interaction and process of rapidly intensifying Typhoon in the northwestern Pacific” (PM61670) funded by the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries, Rep. of Korea. This study was also partly supported by the project entitled “Influences of the Northwest Pacific circulation and climate variability on the Korean water changes and material cycle I—The role of Jeju warm current and its variability” (PEA0011) funded by Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology (KIOST). The mooring data used in this study were provided by KIOST and are available from the KIOST live access server (http://las.kiost.ac.kr/data_adcp/). The model data are freely available from Mercator Ocean (https://resources.marine.copernicus.eu/?option=com_csw&view=details&product_id=GLOBAL_ANALYSIS_FORECAST_PHY_001_024).
- Characteristics of marine heatwaves in the PhilippinesEdullantes, Brisneve; Concolis, Brenna Mei M.; Quilestino-Olario, Raven; Atup, Dale Patrick D.; Cortes, Aiza; Yñiguez, Aletta T. (Elsevier, 2023-09)Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) are prolonged, discrete, and anomalously warm events, which have recently gained global attention due to their far-reaching effects and reported impacts. Although intensive studies have been carried out at global and regional scales, these events remained understudied in the Philippines – a country with high marine biodiversity. The Philippines is highly vulnerable to the impacts of these extreme events as it lies in the western boundary of the Pacific that is considered as a hotspot for MHWs. The present study used multi-year climatic sea surface temperature (SST) record to detect MHWs in the Philippines. The detected events were then characterized using the standardized metrics. Linear trend analysis was conducted to determine the magnitude and direction of the change of the MHW metrics over time. Decadal trend revealed that MHWs in the Philippines significantly increased from seven MHWs in the 1980s to 37 MHWs in the last decade. Moreover, increased duration was remarkable in 2020 with 276 MHW days. MHW frequency and duration were increasing at a rate almost twice as its neighboring waters. Intensities did not significantly increase with time, but the highest SST anomaly is associated with El Niño Southern Oscillation. Furthermore, the eastern and western region of the Philippines is vulnerable to MHWs, but hotspots are mostly confined in the West Philippine Sea and western tropical Pacific. An in-depth investigation of the drivers of MHWs is recommended to understand the physical mechanisms of the development of these extreme thermal events in the Philippine seas. The findings have significant implications for coastal marine resource management, highlighting the need for adaptive management strategies and increased monitoring and research efforts to mitigate the impacts of MHWs on marine ecosystems and local economies in the Philippines.
- Natural and anthropogenic climate variability sgnals in a 237-year-long coral record from the PhilippinesInoue, Mayuri; Fukushima, A.; Chihara, M.; Genda, A.; Ikehara, Minoru; Okai, T.; Kawahata, Hodaka; Siringan, F. P.; Suzuki, Atsushi (American Geophysical Union, 2023-11-29)Both proxy and model studies conducted to understand anthropogenic warming have revealed historical variations in sea-surface temperature (SST) since the industrial revolution. However, because of discrepancies between observations and models in the late nineteenth century, the timing and degree of anthropogenic warming remain unclear. In this study, we reconstructed a 237-year-long record of SST and salinity using a coral core collected from Bicol, southern Luzon, Philippines, which is located at the northern edge of the western Pacific warm pool. The SST record showed volcanic cooling after several volcanic eruptions, including the 1815 Tambora eruption, but the pattern of change differed. Decadal SST variations at Bicol are connected to Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV). Therefore, it is suggested that the PDV conditions at the time of the eruption may have influenced marine conditions, such as the degree and duration of cooling and/or salinity, after the eruptions. Although there were discrepancies in SST variations among the modeled, observed, and proxy SST data from the late nineteenth to early twentieth centuries, SST data from the late twentieth century showed globally coherent anthropogenic warming, especially after 1976. In particular, summer SST in the northwestern Pacific has become more sensitive to anthropogenic forcing since 1976.